🗓 Coming Up Next Week

Monday 09.09
⏺Japan GDP
⏺China CPI

Tuesday 10.09
⏺China International Trade
⏺Germany CPI

Wednesday 11.09
⏺UK GDP
⏺US CPI

Thursday 12.09
⏺Japan PPI
⏺US Initial Jobless Claims
⏺US PPI
⏺ECB Rate

Friday 13.09
⏺US Consumer Sentiment
⏺EU Factory Output

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🙂Yellen Tried To Reassure Investors

📣Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen sought to reassure the public that the U.S. economy remains strong despite a string of weak employment data that rattled investors and weighed on the stock market.

©Yellen said job growth had slowed from the so-called "hiring rush" as the US reopened from the Covid-19 pandemic, but the economy was "in a deep recovery."

ℹ️The Treasury secretary's comments came a day after the Bureau of Labor Statistics released employment data for another month that was worse than expected.

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⚡️Broadcom's Quarterly Revenue Soared 47%, But Forecasts Disappointed The Market

📈One of the world's largest manufacturers of semiconductor products, Broadcom, recorded higher-than-expected revenue in the third fiscal quarter ending August 4, but the company's shares fell 11% amid weak forecasts and a quarterly loss.

📊According to reports, the net loss was $1.88 billion, or $0.4 per share, compared with net profit of $3.3 billion, or $0.77 per share, a year earlier. Excluding one-time items, earnings were $1.24 per share, exceeding analysts' average expectations of $1.22 per share.

🔼Revenue, meanwhile, soared 47% YoY to $13.07 billion, compared with analysts' expectations of $12.98 billion. Broadcom estimates revenue for the current reporting period will be about $14 billion, while analysts on average expect $14.11 billion.

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🔝 S&P 500 Has Its Worst Week In A Year - Investors Did Not Appreciate The Labor Market Report

🔽S&P 500 fell 1.7% on Friday, September 6. This is the benchmark's worst week in a year, driven by selling in tech stocks as the August jobs report was weak. Tech stocks also fell as investors continued to dump risky assets.

📊 Fresh employment data for August further fueled concerns about a slowdown in the labor market. The statistics released on Friday raised concerns about the state of the US economy, spooking markets and reducing risk appetite. Nonfarm payrolls rose by 142,000 versus expectations of 161,000. However, the unemployment rate fell to 4.2%, in line with expectations.

⚠️ August payroll data points to rising risks as the labor market appears to be deteriorating and the Fed needs to step in to reduce risks. The report solidifies a rate cut in September, but the big question is whether the Fed will take big steps (cutting rates by 50 bps) to counter rising risks.

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⚡️Nvidia Slides 5% As Chip Stocks Lead Tech Losses

🔽Shares of Nvidia sank as much as 5% on Friday as a sell-off in chip stocks led to the downside.The AI chip heavyweight was under pressure along with other semiconductor names on the last day of what has been a volatile week for stocks.

📉Shares of Broadcom also sank nearly 9% after the semiconductor giant's lackluster sales forecast for the fourth quarter overshadowed its earnings beat. Taiwan Semiconductor, Advanced Micro Devices and chip-making giant ASML each slid more than 4%.

📊The Tech sector led the markets lower on Friday after the unemployment rate fell to 4.2%, prompting some investors to believe the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points instead of 50 basis points at its policy meeting this month. Investors have increasingly questioned whether capital expenditures for tech infrastructure will continue and if the AI boom has peaked.

ℹ️Nvidia's stellar growth streak has underpinned the market's rally this year. The stock led a market rebound last month, but failed to continue the rally in late August after a lackluster reception for the company's quarterly results. Nvidia is on pace to end the shortened trading week down roughly 14%.

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☄️Brent Price Fell Below $72 For The First Time Since June 2023

📈Oil prices fell after the release of weaker-than-expected data on the US labor market. At the same time, oil prices may continue to fall as concerns about demand outweigh OPEC+'s decision to postpone production increases.

🤝On September 5, OPEC+ countries, including Russia and Saudi Arabia, extended voluntary oil production cuts by 2.2 million barrels per day until December. The corresponding statement was published on the OPEC website.

📉Oil began to fall significantly in price on Tuesday, September 3, losing 4.86% per day. Quotes began to fall after signs of a resolution to the political conflict in Libya appeared. Earlier, oil production and exports from Libya's main ports were stopped due to a standoff between political factions vying for control of the Central Bank of Libya and oil revenues.

⚠️In addition, the risks of a decline in oil demand due to high rates have not exhausted themselves. Although the US Federal Reserve is ready to start cutting rates in September, it may take a long time for the rate to return to normal levels. This means that the economy is still capable of falling into recession, which leads to lower oil prices.

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🕯 Most Volatile Stocks / 05.09.2024

🚘 Tesla shares rose more than 6% on Thursday after the electric automaker stuck to its plans to launch the Full Self-Driving (FSD) advanced driver assistance software in China and Europe pending approval from regulators. This comes about a month ahead of the company's unveiling of its robotaxi product, "Cybercab", underpinned by the technology that helps drivers accelerate, brake and steer in cities and highways with human supervision.

👔 G-III Apparel Group shares surged 24% after the apparel maker posted second-quarter results that topped estimates. Management said performance in its owned brands was strong with DKNY and Karl Lagerfeld up double digits. The company also added a new licensing agreement with Converse in the quarter. CEO Morris Goldfarb said the company was raising its earnings guidance for the year

🖥 C3ai stock tumbled 8% on Thursday after the maker of AI enterprise software posted weaker-than-expected subscription revenue for its first quarter of fiscal year 2025. The stock's decline illustrates how investors are increasing scrutiny of companies whose stocks have benefited from the artificial intelligence hype. Four firms lowered their price target on the stock following the report. JPMorgan analysts noted professional services revenue of $13.5 million came in well ahead of expectations for the quarter, but subscription revenue of $73.5 million came in 7% below consensus.

🖨 Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co. shares dropped 6% after HPE reported weaker-than-expected margins, suggesting lower profitability than anticipated in its closely watched business of selling servers for artificial intelligence work. Investors have become increasingly concerned about the lower margins of most AI servers, owing to the expensive semiconductors they contain made by companies such as Nvidia Corp. In an interview, Chief Executive Officer Antonio Neri said that over time HPE will sell more higher-margin products and services along with the AI servers..

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⚡️Goldman Sachs Estimates US Economic Growth Higher If Democrats Win Elections

🌧In the event of a Republican victory or a divided Congress under Donald Trump, economic growth will suffer next year, mainly due to increased import tariffs and tougher immigration policies. Job growth under Democrats will also be higher than under Republicans.

📍The race between Harris and Trump is close, with the Democratic candidate holding a slight lead in national polls and some key states. The prospect of Trump winning, especially in tandem with harsh China critic J.D. Vance, rattled markets in July.

✨Under Harris, job growth would be 10,000 per month higher than under divided-government Trump and 30,000 higher than with a complete Republican victory, Goldman estimates. A Trump victory would likely lead to higher tariffs on auto imports from China, Mexico and the EU, raising core inflation.

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