💰 Standard Chartered: #Bitcoin Could Hit $125K Under Trump, $75K Under Harris

Standard Chartered has reaffirmed its projection that bitcoin will hit new all-time highs by the end of 2024, regardless of the U.S. election outcome. The bank’s digital assets head predicts bitcoin could reach $125,000 under Trump or $75,000 under Harris, with temporary drops under a Harris presidency. Regulatory concerns loom, but other factors, like U.S. Treasury curve movements, provide a positive outlook.

Source

@Bitcoin_Ethereum_Altcoins

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💰 92% of Bitcoin exchange inflows come from short-term holders

In the past month, the majority of Bitcoin exchange inflows have come from short-term holders, based on CryptoQuant data. According to the data, addresses that held BTC for less than three months made up over 92% of the total exchange inflows on Sep. 12. Over 83% of exchange inflows came from coins held for less than a week.

Source

@Bitcoin_Ethereum_Altcoins

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💰 Bitcoin mining CEOs agree on $250k price target for 2028 halving

Bitcoin mining executives from top firms gathered at the HC Wainwright Bitcoin Mining Panel on Sept. 10 to discuss industry trends, challenges, and the future of Bitcoin. The panel, moderated by Anthony Scaramucci of SkyBridge Capital, featured CEOs from prominent mining companies, including Bit Digital, Bitfarms, CleanSpark, Core Scientific, and Marathon Digital Holdings.

Source

@Bitcoin_Ethereum_Altcoins

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💰 Bitcoin to eventually bottom as perp funding rates remain negative: K33 report

While bearish sentiment remains sticky as macro uncertainty looms over crypto and traditional markets, it has led to a perpetual funding rate signal that points toward a potential market bottom for bitcoin, according to analysts at K33 Research. Bitcoin has struggled in recent weeks amid uncertainty over the economy, the impact of potential Federal Reserve rate cuts and weak U.S. jobs data.

Source

@Bitcoin_Ethereum_Altcoins

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🕯 Most Volatile Stocks / 05.09.2024

🚘 Tesla shares rose more than 6% on Thursday after the electric automaker stuck to its plans to launch the Full Self-Driving (FSD) advanced driver assistance software in China and Europe pending approval from regulators. This comes about a month ahead of the company's unveiling of its robotaxi product, "Cybercab", underpinned by the technology that helps drivers accelerate, brake and steer in cities and highways with human supervision.

👔 G-III Apparel Group shares surged 24% after the apparel maker posted second-quarter results that topped estimates. Management said performance in its owned brands was strong with DKNY and Karl Lagerfeld up double digits. The company also added a new licensing agreement with Converse in the quarter. CEO Morris Goldfarb said the company was raising its earnings guidance for the year

🖥 C3ai stock tumbled 8% on Thursday after the maker of AI enterprise software posted weaker-than-expected subscription revenue for its first quarter of fiscal year 2025. The stock's decline illustrates how investors are increasing scrutiny of companies whose stocks have benefited from the artificial intelligence hype. Four firms lowered their price target on the stock following the report. JPMorgan analysts noted professional services revenue of $13.5 million came in well ahead of expectations for the quarter, but subscription revenue of $73.5 million came in 7% below consensus.

🖨 Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co. shares dropped 6% after HPE reported weaker-than-expected margins, suggesting lower profitability than anticipated in its closely watched business of selling servers for artificial intelligence work. Investors have become increasingly concerned about the lower margins of most AI servers, owing to the expensive semiconductors they contain made by companies such as Nvidia Corp. In an interview, Chief Executive Officer Antonio Neri said that over time HPE will sell more higher-margin products and services along with the AI servers..

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↗️ The Bullish Trend In The Indian Market Is Only Halfway Through

🇮🇳 India's stock market rally is adding weight to its indices and creating a dilemma for global fund managers: sit back and watch their relative risk exposure decline as the market rises, or buy shares at increasingly attractive prices. Most of them consider the latter too risky and are looking for alternatives. Some are investing in smaller Indian companies, while others are looking to other emerging markets.

🔝The trend was driven by years of strong returns in India while Chinese markets suffered a slump, leading to a change in their weighting in the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, which serves as a benchmark for global emerging market funds.

📊India's share of the MSCI EM index has risen to 19% from 8% four years ago, and analysts at Nuvama Alternative & Quantitative Research expect it to exceed 22% by the end of this year. China's share fell from 40% to 25% over the same period, according to MSCI data.

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🕯 Most Volatile Stocks / 04.09.2024

🔽Shares of United States Steel Corporation fell more than 20% on Wednesday as the Washington Post reported President Joe Biden is preparing to announce he will formally block Nippon Steel proposed $14.9 billion acquisition of the company. The post cited three people with "knowledge of the matter" but noted a White House official declined to comment.

🔽Dollar Tree stock is getting crushed in Wednesday's trading. The discount retailer's share price was down 24%. On Wednesday morning, Dollar Tree published results for its fiscal second quarter, which ended Aug. 3. Sales and earnings fell short of analysts' consensus expectations, and management cut its full-year guidance targets. The company continued to face some macroeconomic headwinds, and expenses from store openings and legal liability costs also weighed on the bottom line.

🔽Zscaler stock collapsed in morning trading Wednesday, down by 17.8%, even though the company crushed analysts' forecasts for its fiscal fourth quarter when it reported after the closing bell Tuesday. Turns out, though, investors were less interested in Zscaler's recent past and more worried about what might happen next year. CEO Jay Chaudhry hailed the results as "exceeding the high end of our guidance across all metrics." And Zscaler made good progress toward achieving true GAAP profitability.

🔼Shares of GitLab were soaring today after the DevOps cloud software specialist posted strong results in its fiscal 2025 second-quarter earnings report, beating estimates on the top and bottom lines. In a difficult environment for cloud software companies, GitLab keeps delivering solid growth. CEO Sid Sijbrandij said, "Our results show the combination of our end-to-end platform and AI solutions are driving results for our customers by aligning to business goals, providing measurable results, and improving security."

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⚡️Goldman Sachs Estimates US Economic Growth Higher If Democrats Win Elections

🌧In the event of a Republican victory or a divided Congress under Donald Trump, economic growth will suffer next year, mainly due to increased import tariffs and tougher immigration policies. Job growth under Democrats will also be higher than under Republicans.

📍The race between Harris and Trump is close, with the Democratic candidate holding a slight lead in national polls and some key states. The prospect of Trump winning, especially in tandem with harsh China critic J.D. Vance, rattled markets in July.

✨Under Harris, job growth would be 10,000 per month higher than under divided-government Trump and 30,000 higher than with a complete Republican victory, Goldman estimates. A Trump victory would likely lead to higher tariffs on auto imports from China, Mexico and the EU, raising core inflation.

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🔴 Market Pulse / 03.09.2024

↘️ Investors began September trading with a crash as stocks tumbled on Tuesday to start a historically tough month for markets, with AI darling Nvidia and chip names leading tech stocks down. The turn into the red comes amid a crucial week of data on the economy and labor market highlighted by an influential monthly jobs report.

📊The market initially took a leg down on Tuesday after two readings of manufacturing production showed signs of weakness. S&P Global’s showed a decline from July to August, while the Institute for Supply Management’s came in under the level anticipated by economists polled by Dow Jones. This data reignited concerns around slowing growth within the U.S. economy, which helped drive a closely watched sell-off early last month.

📈U.S. and global benchmark crude-oil prices fell sharply on Tuesday to turn lower year to date, as downbeat economic data from China and a weak reading on the U.S. manufacturing sector fed worries about a slowdown in energy demand. November Brent crude, the global benchmark, fell 4.9%, to settle at $73.75 - the lowest front-month finish since Dec. 12, 2023, with prices turning down by 4.3% this year. WTI crude for October delivery fell 4.4% to settle at $70.34 - the lowest front-month finish since Dec. 13, 2023. Year to date, prices have now lost 1.8%.

🔽Nvidia fell 9% on Tuesday, continuing a slide that accelerated after the company's earnings report last week that failed to impress Wall Street. The stock is down more than 12% over the last five days, highlighting a challenging moment for AI and chip companies that have stalled as questions about returns on investments from their customers grow louder.

🔽Coinbase sank nearly 7% as fears of an economic slowdown outweighed the prospects of the Fed's expected rate cut later this month, pulling a host of crypto-related firms, along with much of the rest of the market, into the red. The price of bitcoin, the main cryptocurrency, sank further on Tuesday, around the $57,000 level, dragging the prospects of the digital currency ecosystem along with it.

🔽Boeing sank 6% Tuesday following a price target cut from Wells Fargo, which highlighted pressure on the company's cash flow as it works to develop new aircraft. The company also faces a major potential strike, as its workers in Washington state are set to go on strike if a deal isn't reached later this month.

S&P Movers:

📈Molson Coors Beverage +5%
📈Dexcom +4%
📈Cboe Global Markets +4%
📉Vistra -11%
📉Monolithic Power System -10%
📉Constellation Energy -10%

Market Data

📉S&P 500 -2.1%
📉NASDAQ -3.3%
📉STOXX 600 -1.0%
📉DAX -1.0%
📉SHANGHAI -0.3%
📉NIKKEI -0.0%

🥇 GOLD -0.1%
💛 BTC -1.8%
😱  VIX +38.1%

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⚡️Wall Street's Oil Market Forecasts for 2025 Are Getting Gloomier

📈Last week, experts at Goldman Sachs Group and Morgan Stanley already lowered their forecasts for Brent oil prices for next year to below $80 per barrel. Citigroup Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. warned that futures for “black gold” could even fall to $60.

💸The main reason lies in China, the world's largest oil importer, where key growth engines such as manufacturing activity and home sales have begun to falter.

📊Global oil markets were oversupplied by more than 1 million barrels a day in the first quarter as rising demand was more than met by an influx of new production from the United States, Guyana and Brazil, according to the International Energy Agency.

➕However, this figure could increase if the OPEC+ cartel, led by Saudi Arabia, continues to implement plans to restore production by about 2 million barrels per day between October and the end of 2025.

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