Peter Zeihan
- 24 часа
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- 7 дней
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- 30 дней
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- Реакции
- 0
- Репосты
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Динамика подписчиков
Подписчиков у канала «Peter Zeihan»: 915.
По дням, последние 30 дней
| Дата | Подписчики | Изменение | Посты | Ср. просмотры поста |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 ноя | 915 | 0 | 0 | – |
| 11 ноя | 915 | 0 | 2 | 60 |
| 10 ноя | 915 | 0 | 3 | 86 |
| 9 ноя | 915 | −8 | 2 | 101 |
| 16 окт | 923 | – | 0 | – |
Просмотры по возрасту поста
Средние просмотры в каждом возрасте, посты за последние 30 дней.
- 48 ч
- 86
- 3 дня
- 99
- 7 дней
- 131
Когда публикует
Время по UTC. 27 постов за 90 дней.
Последние посты
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Xi Jinping's Consolidation and Expanding Purges The Catalyst: At the latest CCP Congress, more leaders were removed, but Zhang Shengmin—who oversees military purges—was elevated. Structural Constraints: The party body itself is now about one quarter empty, and the Chinese bureaucracy has hollowed out because officials stop collecting information Xi Jinping does not want to hear. Strategic Verdict: As Xi intensifies the power vacuum, it will inevitably lead to major policy failures and make it increasingly difficult for the outside world to peek behind the curtain, with Zhang's promotion signaling that more purges are coming soon. Full Newsletter | 🐦
60 просмотров Фото -
China's Power Vacuum Worsens || Peter Zeihan
61 просмотров Видео -
The European courts have sided with Tusk’s Civic Coalition for now, but Poles will ultimately have to decide for themselves which party is in the right. #poland #geopolitics https://twitter.com/PeterZeihan/status/2120265896568721574/video/1 🐦
80 просмотров Видео -
Poland's Constitutional Crisis Over Judicial Appointments The Catalyst: Poland is in the midst of a constitutional crisis over judicial appointments, reigniting a dispute from 2015 as the sitting government attempts to put its judges in and remove ones put in by PiS. Structural Constraints: The institution that would decide who is right is the Constitutional Court, and there is no clear route forward without another fresh election because both major factions accuse each other of illegal actions, while Poland was run by the Soviet Union until 1989 so its founding documents have not really been tested until now. Strategic Verdict: Expect this to be the new norm in Polish politics for at lea...
91 просмотров Фото -
Polish Politics Get Persnickety || Peter Zeihan
89 просмотров Видео -
Limpet Mines in the 2026 Conflict The Catalyst: For the first time in the 2026 conflict, the Iranians used a speedboat to pull up aside a civilian commercial ship and place a limpet mine on the side of it above the waterline and blew a hole in it. Structural Constraints: The United States is spending right now about a half $1 billion a day to keep one specific sea lane open, but preventing this is probably beyond the capacity of the United States as there is nobody who has the ability to patrol the Persian Gulf in a way that can stop this in any meaningful way. Strategic Verdict: Conventional commercial shipping in the Persian Gulf is probably going to collapse if they do this at all in t...
106 просмотров Фото -
A New Explosive Threat in the Persian Gulf The Catalyst: On December 30, a Friday, the Iranians used a speedboat at night at 10:15PM local to pull up aside a ship, place a limpet mine on the side of it, and blow a hole in it, an incident confirmed by the United Kingdom. Structural Constraints: Preventing this is probably beyond the capacity of The United States, which is spending right now about $500,000,000 a day to kind of keep the sea lane open for one specific sea lane, while nobody has the ability to patrol the Persian Gulf in a way that can stop this in any meaningful way. Strategic Verdict: Conventional commercial shipping in the Persian Gulf is probably gonna collapse, and if they...
97 просмотров Видео -
Chinese Subsidies, Labor Costs, and Corporate Debt Bubble The Catalyst: Chinese labor costs have gone up by more than a factor of ten since the early 2000s, leaving them wildly, wildly noncompetitive in textiles, yet they never walk away from a sector they have dominated and just subsidize it more. Structural Constraints: Local governments allocate 20 to 30% of their budgets to noncompetitive sectors to generate revenue, taxes, and employment, and while easily half of the industries would leave based on labor costs and productivity, they are basically not allowed to. Strategic Verdict: Money keeps getting pumped in, resulting in a debt bubble that is conservatively now 400% of GDP just in...
146 просмотров -
Фото
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116 просмотров
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Brazil's Political Vulnerabilities and Institutional Fracturing The Catalyst: Brazil just wrapped up its elections with a presidential victory for Lula over Bolsonaro, marking a fourth term as president for Lula after the guy who lost immediately fled the country. Structural Constraints: Brazil is a democracy that only dates back to the 90s, meaning its institutions are relatively fragile and are showing signs of institutional fragmentation. Strategic Verdict: While not anywhere near failure after a strong track record until 10-15 years ago, Brazil has entered the danger zone of states fracturing under internal and external pressures, creating risks that extend far beyond its borders. Fu...
131 просмотров Фото
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China's Artificial Water Reliance and Strategic Vulnerability The Catalyst: After the Great Leap Forward, the Chinese industrialized tapping the aquifer and "in forty years, drained the thing dry." Structural Constraints: They enacted the South-North water diversion process to run water north from the Yangtze through pipes and canals roughly a thousand miles into the watershed in Northern China, continuing to deplete what is left of the aquifer; Northern China, home to roughly two thirds of the Han Chinese, is within single digits of years of having no aquifer itself. Strategic Verdict: With just a few attacks in any war scenario, that canal pipe and pump system goes away, leaving Norther...
168 просмотров Видео -
Mounting Protests and Challenges in India The Catalyst: India faces mounting protests that at times have involved millions of people, driven by Persian Gulf fertilizer input disruptions, national voting reforms removing about 15% of registered voters from the rolls, and educated youth protesting for government services and opportunities. Structural Constraints: As a country of about 1.5 billion people facing an inefficient transport system where a lot of food rots, India depends heavily on Persian Gulf fertilizer inputs that cannot come online until regional security issues are addressed. Strategic Verdict: With normal stabilizing factors offline and inverted, you should expect this to ge...
167 просмотров Фото -
Water Depletion and Vulnerability in Northern China The Catalyst: After the Great Leap Forward, the Chinese Communist Party decided famine was bad for political legitimacy and industrialized tapping the aquifer, basically draining it dry in forty years. Structural Constraints: Northern China is within single digits of years of having no aquifer itself and can be completely or largely dependent upon an artificial water project running water roughly a thousand miles north from the Yangtze. Strategic Verdict: With just a few attacks in any war scenario, that canal pipe and pump system goes away, leaving Northern China high and dry, where somewhere between one third and one half of the Chines...
163 просмотров Видео -
European Rearmament and Nuclear Considerations The Catalyst: The Brits confirmed completing nuclear weapon delivery drills with the French on the 20th of October, although it wasn’t revealed until 3 or 4 days later. Structural Constraints: Establishing industrial capacity to build conventional weapon systems can take literally decades, but countries think they need meaningful results in months to single digits of years. Sweden, Finland, and Romania already have nuclear materials from power reactors, while Poland lacks them. Strategic Verdict: France and the United Kingdom are the only two countries in Europe with nuclear weapons, although that is probably going to change very soon, while...
152 просмотров Фото -
El Salvadorian Troop Deployment to Haiti with United States Support The Catalyst: After gangs attacked a United Nations operation in Haiti and kidnapped four El Salvadorian members, Bukele deployed troops transported by United States military assets to get them back. Structural Constraints: Haiti is run by gangs, lacks a government, and represents an intelligence black hole with no United States forces in country besides the embassy, while El Salvador lacks military capability, having its logistical tail supplied by the Trump administration. Strategic Verdict: The speaker assesses this is going to end in disaster, warning that if 2,000 El Salvadorian soldiers are suddenly on the run and t...
151 просмотров Видео -
What's Behind the French Protests The Catalyst: Peaceful protests involving hundreds of thousands or sometimes millions occur because young people are upset that France has repeatedly cut programs benefiting the young over the old to manage soaring pension costs and one of the world's biggest budget deficits. Structural Constraints: Constitutional rules define everyone in France as French without updating for the colonial era or permitting questions on ethnic background, while an aging population escalates pension expenses. Strategic Verdict: Billions of dollars in property damage and violence in recent weeks are not caused by illegal migrants, but mainly by masked people dressed in black...
148 просмотров Видео -
Deglobalization Undermines Climate Targets The Catalyst: A UN Environmental Program report prompts Zeihan to question whether Paris climate targets remain achievable as industrializing economies need more energy. Structural Constraints: Low-carbon technology and funding are inadequate; solar manufacturing has a large carbon footprint and depends on intricate international supply chains. Fragmented trade disrupts renewable production, while interrupted oil and gas supplies push countries toward local lignite or wood, increasing emissions. Strategic Verdict: He says we're probably going to hit 1.5°C, earlier than previously estimated, with further warming beyond Paris goals. Without far mor...
147 просмотров Фото -
Chinese Subsidies, Labor Costs, and Corporate Debt Bubble The Catalyst: Chinese labor costs have gone up by more than a factor of ten since the early 2000s, leaving them wildly, wildly noncompetitive in textiles, yet they never walk away from a sector they have dominated and just subsidize it more. Structural Constraints: Local governments allocate 20 to 30% of their budgets to noncompetitive sectors to generate revenue, taxes, and employment, and while easily half of the industries would leave based on labor costs and productivity, they are basically not allowed to. Strategic Verdict: Money keeps getting pumped in, resulting in a debt bubble that is conservatively now 400% of GDP just in...
146 просмотров -
The Paris Accords and Global Carbon Emissions The Catalyst: A new report has come out from the UN Environmental Program talking about the status of the world and complying with the Paris Accords. Structural Constraints: Countries that are industrializing need energy requiring carbon, solar has a midterm carbon imprint higher than natural gas, and developing low carbon energy requires developing a new technology first that still has not been done. Additionally, broken trade lines disrupt integrated supply chains for solar, wind, and batteries, while conflicts disrupt oil and natural gas flows, leading countries in calendar year 2026 to turn to local supplies like lignite or wood. Strategic...
143 просмотров Видео -
European Nuclear Deterrence and Rearmament The Catalyst: Russian threats of nuclear Armageddon against European capitals and the Trump administration backing away from supporting Ukraine and Europeans in general have led many European countries to feel they must build significant military deterrent capabilities. Structural Constraints: Conventional military systems take literally decades to establish industrial capacity, build out, and train personnel, while countries feel they need meaningful results in months to single digits of years. Strategic Verdict: European countries are turning to nukes and drones, with Sweden, Finland, Poland, and Romania actively considering going nuclear; this...
137 просмотров Видео
Вопросы о канале «Peter Zeihan»
Сколько подписчиков у канала «Peter Zeihan»?
У канала «Peter Zeihan» (@peterzeihan) 915 подписчиков на 12 ноября 2026 г.
О чём канал «Peter Zeihan»?
Канал в категории «Политика», язык постов: английский.
Какое место занимает канал «Peter Zeihan»?
По числу подписчиков: №1 944 в категории «Политика», №4 092 среди международных каналов, №8 160 среди каналов на языке «английский», №9 189 в мире.
Публикует ли канал «Peter Zeihan» рекламу?
За последние 30 дней ни один из 27 постов не помечен как реклама (#ad, Sponsored, «Реклама»). Рекламу без пометки определить нельзя.
Когда публикует канал «Peter Zeihan»?
Пик публикаций: понедельник, около 11:00 по UTC. Выходит около 2 постов в день.
Статистика обновлена 54 минуты назад.