New Eastern Outlook
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The official channel New Eastern Outlook https://journal-neo.su Contact us: @Journal_NEO
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The Revolution That Didn’t Change Serbia’s Geography The victory of the “Student List” in the Serbian elections marks the end of the Aleksandar Vučić era; however, the country’s new foreign policy agenda—which maintains military neutrality and ongoing relations with Russia—creates tension with the EU and presents the new government with the complex challenge of balancing various geopolitical and economic interests. On November 1, Serbia marked two years since the collapse of a railway-station canopy in Novi Sad killed 16 people. The disaster triggered a protest movement that ultimately dismantled Aleksandar Vučić’s political dominance. On the anniversary, voting was being repeated at 53 po...
76 просмотров Фото -
🇷🇺⛽️A Critical Analysis of the 8th GECF Summit and the Emerging Multipolar World Order ➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿ The Gas Exporting Countries Forum met in Moscow. The West's energy monopoly is not what it used to be ✏️Simon Westwood is a Research Fellow at the Department of History, Dublin City University (DCU), Ireland ➡️GECF and Russia The 8th Summit of the Gas Exporting Countries Forum was held in Moscow on October 27, 2026. It marked the 25th anniversary of the organization and produced the Moscow Declaration. For Russia, the summit had high strategic importance. In 2022, Western governments increased sanctions and began measures to avoid dependence on Russian energy. But the Moscow forum...
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🇺🇸🇺🇸An Ephemeral Relief from Trumpism ➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿ The Democrats won Congress. Trump is weaker. But Trumpism is not going anywhere ✏️Pranay Kumar Shome is a research analyst and PhD candidate at Mahatma Gandhi Central University, Bihar, India ➡️The results The US midterm elections were held on November 3, 2026. The Democratic Party won control of Congress. It took 225 of the 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 54 of the 100 seats in the Senate. The victory produced several historic firsts. James Talarico became the first Democratic senator elected in Texas, a Republican bastion. Abdul El-Sayed became the first Muslim senator from Michigan. Peggy Flanagan, a citizen of t...
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🌐A New Geography of Power ➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿ AI and robotics are changing not just what humans can do, but who decides why we do it ✏️Olivier Roynard is a French essayist and independent researcher ➡️Civilizations facing a new world Modern geopolitics emerged from the study of territory and power. But other traditions explored geography, societies and history from their own perspectives. Danilevsky rejected the idea of a universal civilization modeled on Europe. Savitsky linked territory, communities and historical development. China's Tianxia concept is being reinterpreted today. Powers carry historical memories and visions of political order. China cannot be understood only through...
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🇺🇸🇺🇦The Endgame: When the CIA Proxy War Runs Out of Ukrainians! ➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿ The Ukraine conflict is approaching a strategic turning point as mounting manpower shortages, Western political divisions and battlefield realities expose the limits of a prolonged proxy war. The author argues that continued Western involvement risks further weakening Ukraine while raising serious questions about the strategic objectives of Washington and European governments. ✏️Seth Ferris Investigative journalist and political scientist, expert on Middle Eastern affairs ➡️The CIA, Washington and the Contradictions of Western Policy The author describes the Ukraine conflict as a proxy war sustained by We...
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🇺🇸🗳🇮🇷U.S. midterm elections and an American attack on Qeshm in Iran: Trumpism is magic ➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿ The reported American strike on Iran’s strategic Qeshm Island on November 3, coinciding with the U.S. midterm elections, raises questions about Washington’s military strategy, domestic political calculations and declining influence in the emerging multipolar world. The author views the operation as an attempt by the Trump administration to demonstrate strength amid growing geopolitical challenges. ✏️Mohamed Lamine KABA Expert in the geopolitics of governance and regional integration, Institute of Governance, Human and Social Sciences, Pan-African University ➡️The Qeshm Strike and Was...
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Poland's Rule of Law Recession: Precedents of EU Judicial Coups, Bot Claims and Circular Irony A sharp conflict has erupted in Poland over the Constitutional Tribunal, which has become a striking example of the rule of law crisis in the European Union. The events unfolding in Warsaw are reminiscent of precedents of “judicial coups” in other EU countries. Molly O'Neal of Responsible Statecraft once warned, the sovereigntist-versus-mainstream contest could force a fundamental redesign of the Union. If the redesign is conducted by police cordon and “Russian bot” press releases, I wonder who will be left to call it democratic. Last June I called Poland's predicament a perfect Catch-22: a p...
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The Anatomy of the New Trade Regionalism: An Analysis and Driving Forces The global trade system has entered a phase increasingly called “reglobalization.” A World of Multiple “Clubs,” Not a “Single Market” The key quantitative indicator of this shift: according to WTO data, as of October 1, 2026, 388 regional trade agreements—deals between countries on preferential trade terms—were in force. Counting goods, services, and accessions, this corresponds to 642 notifications; at least 84 more agreements in force at that time had not been notified. This is not just growth in the number of agreements. Their function is changing fundamentally. If in the 1990s–2000s such agreements were a tool f...
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Tusk’s Constitutional Power Grab: Is Poland’s Court Crisis Clearing the Way for a Federal Europe? Donald Tusk returned to office promising to restore the rule of law. On October 30, that promise produced a confrontation at Poland’s Constitutional Tribunal, the court charged with reviewing legislation and international agreements against the constitution. Police guarded its headquarters, rival judges disputed who controlled it, and President Karol Nawrocki interrupted a journey to Senegal to return to Warsaw. The next day, Nawrocki called the events a forcible takeover of a constitutional institution. Tusk responded in a televised address by comparing the dispute to recovering a stolen han...
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🇪🇺❓🇹🇷European Union Reevaluates the Rules of the Game. How Will This Affect Relations With Türkiye? ➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿ The European Union’s efforts to strengthen its economic, military and technological capabilities could fundamentally reshape relations with Türkiye, putting its access to the European market increasingly at the intersection of economic cooperation and political alignment ✏️Alexandr Svaranc Ph.D. in Political Science, Professor, Turkologist and Middle East expert ➡️The EU’s Shift Towards Centralized Decision-Making The European Union is considering replacing unanimity with qualified majority voting in foreign policy, security and sanctions. At the same time, Brussels is...
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🇲🇾🇸🇬🇮🇩🇹🇭🚢The Malacca Inversion Driven by Anti-Access / Area-Denial (A2/AD) Continuity ➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿ The expansion of joint patrols by Malaysia, Singapore, Indonesia and Thailand reflects a growing effort by regional states to protect strategic shipping routes and reduce dependence on Western naval security ✏️Syeda Farani Fatima Student at the International Islamic University in Islamabad ➡️Joint Patrols and the Strategic Importance of Malacca On October 26, 2026, Malaysia announced joint maritime patrols with Singapore, Indonesia and Thailand in the Strait of Malacca. The initiative aims to strengthen regional maritime security in one of the world's most important shipping corrido...
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🇪🇺💸🇺🇦Europe Borrows, Kiev Benefits: Brussels’ New Push to Fund Ukraine Through Defence Loans ➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿ The EU is encouraging member states to take on long-term debt for defence projects involving Ukraine, raising questions about who ultimately benefits and who bears the financial burden ✏️Adrian Korczyński Independent Analyst and Observer on Central Europe and Global Policy Research ➡️SAFE Loans and Ukraine’s Military Priorities On October 29, the European Commission invited EU governments to apply for another €21.3 billion in loans under the SAFE programme, encouraging joint procurement of air defence systems, drones, missiles and ammunition for Ukraine. The loans are taken a...
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🇨🇦🤝🗺An Alliance for the Future: Canada's Strategic Embrace of Europe ➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿ Canada and the European Union are deepening economic and security cooperation amid growing tensions with Washington, but political disagreements and competing interests could undermine their ambitions. ✏️Taut Bataut Researcher and writer who publishes on South Asian geopolitics. ➡️From Transatlantic Dependence to a New Partnership Donald Trump’s return to the White House, accompanied by tariffs and pressure on traditional allies, has encouraged Canada and the EU to reduce their dependence on Washington. The initiative gained momentum after Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney called for middle powers...
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🇺🇸🏃🇧🇷🇧🇷The White House Is Directly Involved in Helping Flávio Bolsonaro Evade Justice in Brazil ➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿ The Trump administration’s involvement in Flávio Bolsonaro’s departure from Brazil raises serious questions about US interference in the country’s domestic affairs, judicial independence and Washington’s broader ambitions in Latin America. ✏️Ricardo Martins Doctor of Sociology, specialist in European and international politics and geopolitics ➡️A Political Defeat, a Private Jet and Washington’s Involvement Following his defeat in the presidential run-off against Lula, Flávio Bolsonaro left Brazil despite judicial restrictions requiring him to surrender his passports and on...
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🇷🇺🌍Growing Russia-Africa Cooperation and Sour Grapes ➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿ The Third Russia-Africa Summit demonstrated growing political alignment and prospects for economic cooperation, while exposing Western concerns over the continent's expanding partnerships beyond traditional colonial powers. ✏️Simon Chege Ndiritu is a political observer and research analyst from Africa ➡️Historical ties provide a foundation for cooperation Held on October 28–29, 2026, the Third Russia-Africa Summit brought together representatives from 48 African countries, including 22 heads of state and government. Co-chaired by Russian President Vladimir Putin and African Union Chairman Évariste Ndayishimiye, th...
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Tusk’s Constitutional Power Grab: Is Poland’s Court Crisis Clearing the Way for a Federal Europe? Donald Tusk returned to office promising to restore the rule of law. On October 30, that promise produced a confrontation at Poland’s Constitutional Tribunal, the court charged with reviewing legislation and international agreements against the constitution. Police guarded its headquarters, rival judges disputed who controlled it, and President Karol Nawrocki interrupted a journey to Senegal to return to Warsaw. The next day, Nawrocki called the events a forcible takeover of a constitutional institution. Tusk responded in a televised address by comparing the dispute to recovering a stolen han...
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🇺🇸🗳🇮🇷U.S. midterm elections and an American attack on Qeshm in Iran: Trumpism is magic ➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿ The reported American strike on Iran’s strategic Qeshm Island on November 3, coinciding with the U.S. midterm elections, raises questions about Washington’s military strategy, domestic political calculations and declining influence in the emerging multipolar world. The author views the operation as an attempt by the Trump administration to demonstrate strength amid growing geopolitical challenges. ✏️Mohamed Lamine KABA Expert in the geopolitics of governance and regional integration, Institute of Governance, Human and Social Sciences, Pan-African University ➡️The Qeshm Strike and Was...
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🇪🇺❓🇹🇷European Union Reevaluates the Rules of the Game. How Will This Affect Relations With Türkiye? ➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿ The European Union’s efforts to strengthen its economic, military and technological capabilities could fundamentally reshape relations with Türkiye, putting its access to the European market increasingly at the intersection of economic cooperation and political alignment ✏️Alexandr Svaranc Ph.D. in Political Science, Professor, Turkologist and Middle East expert ➡️The EU’s Shift Towards Centralized Decision-Making The European Union is considering replacing unanimity with qualified majority voting in foreign policy, security and sanctions. At the same time, Brussels is...
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🇮🇱🍆Israel’s Election: A Victory Without a Majority, and the Price Is the Whole Country ➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿➿ Israel’s October 27 election has left the country without a clear parliamentary majority, making Arab parties potential kingmakers while exposing deep divisions over Netanyahu’s leadership and the future of the political system. ✏️Muhammad Hamid ad-Din Palestinian journalist ➡️Election Results Leave Israel Without a Clear Majority The October 27 Knesset elections produced a fragmented parliament, with Benjamin Netanyahu’s bloc winning 53 of 120 seats, eight short of the majority required to form a government. The opposition bloc led by Gadi Eisenkot secured 48 seats, while Arab par...
193 просмотров Фото -
The Anatomy of the New Trade Regionalism: An Analysis and Driving Forces The global trade system has entered a phase increasingly called “reglobalization.” A World of Multiple “Clubs,” Not a “Single Market” The key quantitative indicator of this shift: according to WTO data, as of October 1, 2026, 388 regional trade agreements—deals between countries on preferential trade terms—were in force. Counting goods, services, and accessions, this corresponds to 642 notifications; at least 84 more agreements in force at that time had not been notified. This is not just growth in the number of agreements. Their function is changing fundamentally. If in the 1990s–2000s such agreements were a tool f...
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